Rutgers
W-L: (11- 9) PR = 90.8840Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 14-19 213 A Delaware Atlantic Su (13- 5, 87.5) 12- 4 218 H Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 20- 5 221 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.5) 15-12 225 A Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 9-15 228 H Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 17- 7 307 A Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 17-16 311 A Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 8-11 315 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 12-15 319 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 9- 8 328 A Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 15- 8 330 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 14- 8 404 A Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 11-18 409 H Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 13-12 412 H Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 21- 7 415 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 6-18 418 H Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 15-18 422 N Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 9-14 508 N Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 12-11 510 A Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 8-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Army 14-19 -5 1 -- -5.80
213 A Delaware 12- 4 8 2 ++ 6.00
218 H Monmouth (NJ) 20- 5 15 12 1.54
221 A Villanova 15-12 3 3 -0.04
225 A Princeton 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.88
228 H Hofstra 17- 7 10 8 + 2.31
307 A Temple 17-16 1 3 - -2.04
311 A Stony Brook 8-11 -3 -4 1.19
315 H Johns Hopkins 12-15 -3 -2 -1.03
319 A Ohio State 9- 8 1 -1 1.58
328 A Southern California 15- 8 7 3 ++ 4.01
330 A San Diego State 14- 8 6 10 - -3.91
404 A Maryland 11-18 -7 -4 - -2.86
409 H Michigan 13-12 1 -2 + 2.67
412 H Oregon 21- 7 14 10 + 3.53
415 A Northwestern 6-18 -12 -7 -- -4.60
418 H Penn State 15-18 -3 -1 -1.90
422 N Johns Hopkins 9-14 -5 -3 -1.66
508 N Princeton 12-11 1 -2 + 2.75
510 A Maryland 8-11 -3 -4 1.14
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Army 14-19 -5 1 -- -5.80 415 A Northwestern 6-18 -12 -7 -- -4.60 225 A Princeton 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.88 307 A Temple 17-16 1 3 - -2.04 330 A San Diego State 14- 8 6 10 - -3.91 404 A Maryland 11-18 -7 -4 - -2.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Delaware 12- 4 8 2 ++ 6.00 328 A Southern California 15- 8 7 3 ++ 4.01 228 H Hofstra 17- 7 10 8 + 2.31 409 H Michigan 13-12 1 -2 + 2.67 412 H Oregon 21- 7 14 10 + 3.53 508 N Princeton 12-11 1 -2 + 2.75 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Army (15- 5, 91.5) 14-19 -8.45 31.72 -1.37 0.87 -4.25
3 A Delaware (13- 5, 87.5) 12- 4 -12.38 27.78 1.37 0.87 50.50
3 H Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 20- 5 -20.10 20.06 -1.37 0.87 32.39
3 A Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.5) 15-12 -13.43 26.74 1.37 0.87 48.69
3 A Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 9-15 -7.27 32.90 1.37 0.87 -2.55
3 H Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 17- 7 -15.34 24.83 -1.37 0.87 40.64
3 A Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 17-16 -13.42 26.75 1.37 0.87 48.71
3 A Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 8-11 -6.19 33.98 1.37 0.87 -2.09
3 H Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 12-15 -5.68 34.49 -1.37 0.87 -3.05
3 A Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 9- 8 -9.80 30.36 1.37 0.87 54.97
3 A Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 15- 8 -13.37 26.80 1.37 0.87 48.79
3 A San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 14- 8 -20.30 19.87 1.37 0.87 36.80
3 A Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 11-18 -6.24 33.92 1.37 0.87 -2.11
3 H Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 13-12 -5.98 34.19 -1.37 0.87 56.85
3 H Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 21- 7 -18.12 22.05 -1.37 0.87 35.83
3 A Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 6-18 -2.98 37.18 1.37 0.87 -0.70
3 H Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 15-18 -6.55 33.61 -1.37 0.87 -3.43
3 N Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 9-14 -5.68 34.49 -0.00 0.87 -2.46
3 N Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 12-11 -7.27 32.90 -0.00 0.87 57.00
3 A Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 8-11 -6.24 33.92 1.37 0.87 -2.11
------
488.41
|
winning pts = 511.1639 losing points = -22.7569
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------